Although concerning, these circumstances sound a lot worse than they actually are.
Kentucky residents might prefer Paul stay put as senator, but in comparison to other Republican candidates and Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton, Paul still has the advantage.
If we were to see a Paul-Clinton matchup, an estimated 49 percent of Kentucky voters would opt for Paul while only 43 percent would lean towards a Clinton ballot. It is also appropriate to mention that only Republican candidates Florida Governor Jeb Bush and New Jersey Governor Chris Christie would best Clinton in a presidential election—46/42 and 44/40 respectively.
As for the rest of the Republican frontrunners, Clinton gradually becomes more and more favorable in Kentuckian eyes.
More forward, with the overall projection of the conservative vote, we find 34 percent of the GOP primary voters in favor of Paul, while the subsequent runner Jeb Bush tallies in at 20 percent.
Meanwhile, twelve percent goes to Chris Christie, then seven percent to Ted Cruz, five percent each for Marco Rubio and Paul Ryan, three percent for Bobby Jindal, and lastly, two percent for both Rick Santorum and Scott Walker.
The state of Kentucky is growing more and more conservative, and with that being said, it is apparent a majority of people want to see a Republican in office.
However, teetering or taking for granted Clinton’s hold on the state, weaker as it may be, would be a risky move if Republicans want to maintain the decent-but-not-so-far-ahead lead. Choosing the GOP candidate with the most support behind them—Rand Paul—would be the wisest move in this case, even if he only has a current one in three favor over his competitors.
As voters head to the polls in November of 2016, things will pan out the way they should. Yet, it is important to remember small differences can make the biggest difference and, as most things, an election is a game of inches.
If we should see Paul and Clinton face off, it would be an interesting matchup. It would also not be the first time the two have firmly crossed paths. In a prior discussion on the foreign affairs in Benghazi, Paul handled himself swimmingly on the offensive, making clear he would have relieved Clinton of her role as Secretary of State had he been in charge.
Let’s see if he can do the same on the defensive end.
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